If you've been around the hive for a while, you know that the $LEO token isn't just a reward token; it's the fuel for one of the most robust economies on the Hive. But, amidst the current market, it's valid to ask: What is LEO's true ceiling based on what it has already achieved?
Today I want to do an exercise in informed speculation (not financial advice) by looking back to understand the future.
📉 History: Where Have We Been?
To know where we're going, we have to see where we've been.
The All-Time High (ATH): During the 2021 Bull Run, $LEO reached prices above $1.10 USD (depending on the exchange and liquidity at the time).
The Context of That Price: Back then, InLeo (formerly Leofinance) had fewer features than it does today. The Threads layer as we know it didn't exist, nor did such a refined advertising revenue model.
If the token could reach parity with the dollar based primarily on speculation and DeFi... what's stopping it from doing so again with real utility?
🚀 Current Catalysts
Unlike in the past, the future price of $LEO doesn't depend solely on Bitcoin, but on the internal "Tokenomics" the team has built:
Advertising Buybacks: The platform's advertising revenue is used to buy LEO and LEO POWER from the market. This creates constant buying pressure.
Premium Subscriptions: More users paying for Premium means more demand for the token.
Scarcity: As more people stake (LP) to curate content and earn rewards, the liquid supply decreases.
🔮 Price Scenarios (Speculative)
Based on historical charts and the resistance the token has shown in the penny range:
Conservative Scenario (Recovery): Return to the $0.15 - $0.25 zone. This would simply be a recovery of previous support levels, a very feasible move with a slight recovery in BTC and Hive.
Bullish Scenario (Mini-Bull): Break the $0.50 barrier. This is where market psychology comes into play.
Moon Scenario (ATH): Retest $1.00+. For this, we need a general crypto bull run plus massive adoption of the InLeo UI. Since LEO's market cap remains low, a moderate inflow of capital could quickly trigger a price surge.
💡 Conclusion
The LEO token has proven to be one of the longest-running and most developed projects on Hive. If we adjust the price for current utility versus past speculation, the token appears to be fundamentally undervalued.
History tells us that $1.00 is possible. Current technology tells us it's sustainable.
What do you think? Do you see LEO breaking its all-time high in the next cycle, or do you prefer to accumulate at these low prices? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Posted using LasseCash