Dear friends
i would like to worn you to play on @magicdice.
As you can see from the image, i try 3 times in one minute to bet a number less than 90.
It means i would have 89% probably to win.
How it is possible that in one minute i got three times 11% of numbers?
I am not very well in matematic, but in my opinion something is wrong, what do you think?
As usual i ask opinion to my steem-bounty friends
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It's not unfair at all. You can verify everything on the blockchain. You can flip a coin and get tails 10 times in a row. It is less likely to happen. but that happens. It's basic probability. Just relax and keep playing. Good Luck!
Today I got confirm that they have some shit under system, i bet 10 times consecutive 45% of win percentage and i loose all times, this is not fair my friend...
Hi agree my friend!! I got exactly the same, look at it:
3 times consequently loose with 89% of probability of win!!!
Oh my God! This a fucking bull shit!
According to what I have seen the transactions can be reviewed in the chain of blocks, although of course as in all bets there is a% of probability in favor of the house.
Greetings from Venezuela.
I think when it comes to random numbers, you can never prove what would be the result, provided it is implemented well.
Doubting their random number generation won't be good as they have listed the exact logic on their website here- https://magic-dice.com/provably-fair You might need some programming knowledge if you actually want to test and run it at your end.
Furthermore, you can always check the detailed logs or steps for every roll by verifying how the logic worked over here- https://magic-dice.com/verify
Hope this would help.
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If my calculation is right, your chance of losing one bet 11%, which means probability of losing three bets in a row are 0.001331 (0.1331%) which seems pretty low, but it happens roughly once in 751 occasions (keep in mind that the occasion = three successive bets) and when you view it that way, odds look a bit worse.
I personally lost with even better odds (although not on magic dice) so I can tell you that a gambler always loses in the long term. Please tell me if I miscalculated something.
Also random number generation is still not completely random as it depends on various calculations, and if we add the house edge which almost every gambling site has we can say that your loss was a combination of bad luck and house advantage.
Hi it happens to me too, it seems this 0.1331% is not so less....
Good day many of us loose in gambling. Even if you use bots you can loose. read this post
https://steemit.com/magicdice/@themarkymark/588-052-bets-my-magic-dice-journey
Also when you start to play remember that house almost always in plus! So better if you afraid to loose even don't start to play. And of course it'll be hard to prove who right and who not.
That's the way she goes, it's really simple to roll 90 or above 3 times in a minute. If it's 3 times in a row your odds are about 1 in 750, if it's 3 times in a minute it could be significantly less depending on how many times in a minute you roll. I rolled over 50 16 times in a row, the odds of that are about 1 in 65000. Considering there are millions of rolls per day, I'm sure there are all sorts of crazy events happening. The most difficult thing is to beat the house after a million rolls. That would be extremely rare. Remeber when you roll above 89 twice in a row, odds are still 11% you will do it again.
This probability,
I also played,
I bet me>5, the result is 3,
I bet me<95 points, the result is 97,
I am also drunk chance.
I am all lose.
But there are some big masters even win!
I guess that's what gambling is. Where there are games of chance there are always dubious figures and you don't have to wonder if you get into doubt.
Damn! I cannot imagine this happening as it does not look right. I mean that is just insane!
Posted using Partiko Android
This 2 things happened:
You got really unlucky, but 11% chance of losing is a lot.
And then you got greedy trying to recover what you lost previously what costed you a lot of STEEM.
That´s why I never played again, I made my profit and as soon as I started losing control I left and never went back.
The probability that you lose three times by playing exactly, only free times having a win chance of 89% per draw can be calculated as followed:
The three states "lost" must repeat tree times: lost lost lost
Since these three stats must happen they are linked with "and": lost and lost and lost
The probability of losing one draft having a winning chance of 89% can be calculated by calculating the complementary probability of winning a draft: (1-0.89)=0.11= chance /probability that the state "lost" will occur.
0.110.110.11=0.001331 The statistically probability that you lose a game three times in a row, having a constant win change of 89%, is exactly 0.1331%. Or in other words the probability that you should have won at least one draw is (1-0.001331)=0.998669 99.87% high. The probability of 1%>0.1331% therefore it is very unlikely that you had bad luck. I have only sometimes observed other players playing magic dice. I found out that often after a losing draw another losing draw followes.(autocorrelation) In other words if you lose you first draw, it is very likely that the next person who makes the next draw quickly will lose it .