Pandemics are a real conundrum...
You have hit the nail on the head in your analysis and a great explanation.
The dynamics of a virus is the real complication, the rate of spread, climatic ambionic longevity and human infectious rate are the factors which pose a real investigation, but they are all different at each event.
Good job dude, good article
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How likely do you think a man made bio weapon attack is? Also have you watched parts per billion?