Western mainstream media, their 'strategic analysts', Pentagon and NATO officials, and simple-brained people are repeating a mantra set at the first days of the Russian special military operation in Ukraine to de-Nazify and de-arm the country, the mantra is: the operation should have finished in 2 to 3 days and Kiev (Kyiv) should have fallen back then.
Failing to do so, as they claim, the Russian army is incompetent, unprofessional, Putin was surprised with the Ukrainian resistance - the most hilarious claim, and facing logistical issues.
But who said that a military operation must end in 2 to 3 days? Definitely, it was not any Russian official, the word 'rapid' was added by an 'unknown source' to Putin's first speech declaring the beginning of the military operation in Ukraine, he only stated the reasons and goals of the operation and did not set any time limit or say it will be a rapid operation, nevertheless, the word has spread instantly throughout the media and was then used by every 'analyst' suddenly an expert on Ukraine and miliary operations there and repeated by all western officials.
We don't care about who the unknown source was, it's an established fact that in wars the first casualty is truth, and each side of the wars will resort to lies, exaggerations, and fabrications to help them win the war or at least justify their wars or failures, it's been the case in every single battle fought since the first lie man used on this planet.
What we care about is recent information released by top officials in the Russian leadership to a number of real analysts and I'm quoting one of them in my recent post about this military operation in which they said that the timeframe for the operation was set for 10 weeks at a maximum which should end by the 9th of May achieving all its goals, the officials added that the first two weeks will be intensified military strikes targeting the Ukrainian army's command and control centers, its air defense and air forces, weapons depots, the radical Nazi armed groups quarters, securing the US-sponsored biological weapons research labs, and securing the country's nuclear plants, and circling major Ukrainian cities, especially those to the east of the Dnieper River. After the first two weeks, if the regime in Kiev does not accept the goals set for this operation, a major Ukrainian city will be taken every week.
As far as we see, there's no delay at all in the operation, on the contrary, it's ahead of time taking note that the Sea of Azov is a Russian lake already, and now Russia is adding more conditions to its initial ones and will continue to add more conditions as long as the US and its allies want to prolong this military operation and turn it into what they vowed to Europe's Afghanistan.
I've written previously about the justifications of the Russian special military operation in Ukraine, you can refer to my previous posts here, but just to highlight the significance of the 10 weeks period the operation was planned to take: 10 weeks from 24th of February will end by 9th of May, the day the Russians commemorate the victory over Nazism in 1945 in which they celebrate what is termed Victory Day.
Details and references in this report: Russian Military Operation in Ukraine is Not Slow, It’s Planned to End on 9 May, Victory Day.
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Excellent analysis, and most importantly logical, unlike the western narrative which is always flawed.
I can't really speak to the specifics of Russia's plans because I don't know them and I doubt anybody else does either. That's the sort of thing you don't announce about a military operation and anything said publicly about military plans is quite possibly misinformation. However, I think that most people THOUGHT that whatever Russia's military goals were that they would be accomplished quickly because people THOUGHT that Russia's military was vastly superior to that of the Ukraine. The fact that it has taken significantly longer than people expected makes Russia appear weak (at least in terms of conventional military forces). You could argue the same about the U.S. in Afghanistan but then nation building is always a waste of time, money and effort as has been proven time and time again. Russia, of course, should know about their own capabilities better than anyone so if they expected a months long campaign then good for them, they were right so far. The Russian army has been facing logistical issues but whether those issues are beyond what they expected or not I couldn't say. I don't think anyone doubts Russia's ability to destroy Ukraine eventually though. I mean, sooner or later they will have destroyed all of the schools, hospitals, shopping malls and apartment building that the Nazis could hide in.
Also, you can't really set a specific end date for a military operation unless your goal is merely destruction. You can of course decide to stop destroying things and killing people at a specific date if you want, declare victory and go home. Perhaps that is Russia's plan?
I have not seen details on what Russia is demanding for peace terms. However, adding more conditions because Ukraine doesn't surrender soon enough is not likely to bring peace faster. Just more destruction for everyone. Sounds like a childish ploy to me which makes me question Putin's mental state.
As far as what Russia's motives are, whether it is all the reasons you give or all the reasons the media gives or something else entirely, none of it justifies what they have done. None of it justifies killing thousands of people and displacing millions from their homes not to mention the destruction.
Fairy tales are always good for children and western audiences, the reality on the ground is always completely different.
Any country or armed group that places war plans sets its goals ultimate and acceptable, resources needed, time needed, and methods to achieve it, the more advanced or larger the country the more numerous the scenarios will be put taking into consideration the obstacles expected to be faced.
Our source quoted for the plan goals is a very prominent political analyst, an editor in chief of an important newspaper, has close contact with the Syrian leadership and through them got in contacts with the Russian leadership, or let's say established contacts with people aware or those allowed to leak certain information.
The above post is 8 days old, the news today circulating approves what I've written about the set date.
Contrary to the USA and its armed forces, the Russian army did have very successful military operations in Syria and then a swift operation in Kazakhstan, in Syria, they got the opportunity to have firsthand combats alongside the Syrian army in addition to non-state armed groups like the Lebanese Hezb Allah and the Iranian IRGC, they also had the chance to test their weapons, and learn of the technologies reached by the allies and foes at the same time, this is invaluable knowledge, the most important experience is the experience of bleeding on the ground, they also had that.
In comparison, the USAians fight remotely, fight by proxies, and the Ukrainians never fought a war in the past few decades.
The initial idea of a swift military operation was created by the western media to provoke the Russian forces to commit massacres by carpet-bombing entire cities and towns, the preferred method used by NATO with the US at its lead, the Russians are cold-minded, they also have an advantage of knowing the battleground they'll be fighting over in and out, they know what is their mission and I did mention much of it, that is not circulated and well-known by western audiences is their problem, it's out there, their set goals are publicly announced and repeated continuously.
I'm not in favor of any war, especially between brethren, half of Ukraine is and half of its people are basically Russian, I personally have relatives affected directly by the war and had to flee Kharkiv just a few days ago. that said, I don't think NATO and its Zelensky regime have left any chance to avoid this operation which in addition to all of what had been said already, it was a pre-emptive operation, the Russians were informed of a Ukrainian operation to attack Crimea and the Donbas and it was set to commence on the 25th of the month, let's say, as we say in Arabic: the Russians had NATO (and stooges) for lunch before NATO and stooges had Russia for dinner.
As for the logistics and other ridiculous claims, this isn't even worth commenting about, the area of Ukraine is almost 1.5 times the area of Iraq, the populous area of Ukraine is more than 3 times that of Iraq, and it's directly on Russian borders, not like on the other side of the planet like in the case of Iraq, so good you don't want to compare as that is the only comparable source given. The achievements so far by the Russians despite their meticulous handling of the military operations minimizing the unneeded casualties to near zero, maintaining the infrastructure to their utmost capabilities, until now electricity is running throughout the country, so is water supplies, food...etc., in addition to all of that they have liberated most of the populous areas in the east and south, they have the superiority over Ukraine's air space, control of its nuclear plants, control over the biological weapons labs, destroyed all of Ukraine's army main infrastructure... and we're just 5 weeks into the operation, half of the set peiod.
There's a whole lot here that has nothing to do with anything I said. Iraq has nothing to do with Ukraine nor does the fact that logistics being easier when it is a country next door mean you can't have problems.
A military operation has certain military goals, and yes, it also has a projected timeline. However, this timeline is a range, not a set date. It's certainly reasonable, for example, to project that some military operation will be completed in 6-8 weeks or 3-6 months. It is not reasonable to say we will have completed all goals on exactly this specific date. Russia can certainly go on destroying Ukraine until some specific date if they want but then that just shows that their goal is destruction.
"Pre-emptive" is just another word for "offensive". It's not like NATO or the U.S. or the Ukraine were ever going to invade Russia. And if you are buying Russian propaganda about U.S. sponsored bio-weapons labs then you really need to look a little deeper. All Russia will accomplish here is to cement a relationship with the Ukraine based in hate for at least a generation.
Hilariously so true :)