Or you can use deaths x 100= total # of cases 3 weeks ago. (It takes an average of 3 weeks to die.) Modest infection rate is double every 5 days. 3.5 doublings-today's number of cases. In the case of the US it's 1100 x 100= 110,000 three weeks ago. 220k, 440k,880k 1.25m Cases in the US today. Probably means 12,500 deaths in 3 weeks. Not exactly what the President says. We are rumored to hit 100,000 test kits out this week. Probably means a few aren't tested. Yes, that is snark.
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