A Primer on Public Debt in the United States

The US budget deficit refers to the amount by which the federal government's spending exceeds its revenue in a given year. The public debt of the US, on the other hand, is the total amount of money owed by the federal government to its creditors, including bonds held by the public and debt owed to various federal trust funds.

In recent years, the US budget deficit has increased significantly, reaching over $2 trillion in 2020, largely due to the government's response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This has led to a corresponding increase in the public debt, which now exceeds $28 trillion.

Threat of Insolvency for Medicare and Social Security

The large budget deficit and increasing public debt raise concerns about the long-term financial sustainability of programs such as Medicare and Social Security. Medicare is the federal health insurance program for those aged 65 and older, while Social Security provides retirement, disability, and survivor benefits to eligible Americans.

Both of these programs are facing insolvency in the near future, as the cost of providing benefits to an aging population continues to rise, while the number of workers contributing to the programs decreases. The Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund is projected to become insolvent by 2026, while the Social Security Trust Fund is expected to become insolvent by 2035.

This means that, without reforms, these programs may not be able to pay out all the benefits they have promised to beneficiaries in the future. This poses a significant threat to the financial security of millions of Americans who rely on these programs for their health and retirement income.

Conclusion

The US budget deficit and increasing public debt raise serious concerns about the long-term financial sustainability of programs such as Medicare and Social Security. As the baby boomer generation continues to retire, the cost of these programs is expected to rise, putting pressure on the federal budget and potentially leading to insolvency. Policymakers must take steps to address these issues and ensure that these critical programs are financially secure for future generations.