Brain misfire on my part. Ignore the second half of my previous comment.
In poker, we'd say you were looking for plus EV spots (expected value) to get your money in. That's about all you can do when you think you have a winning hand or horse. The rest is out of your control.
It was a good day for you, though. That's what counts. Hopefully the NFL will be better to me today than my English Premier League bets were yesterday...
Yes that's exactly it. Plus EV is the goal. I play poker a bit casually it helped me a lot with my sport and racing punting because it taught me you can have a winning position, make the right bets with the odds stacked heavily in your favour and still lose.
Exactly. If you’re getting your money in good, then you’ve done your job, regardless of the outcome.
Took me a lot of years to finally get good with that.