Here is something interesting based on actual stats from following the votes of about 60 whales... the ratio of votes for popular authors versus new users is currently about 4:1 in favour of the already established names.
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i was expecting 6:1
It might as well go up to 6:1 or even more as my algorithm is not yet 100% accurate and about 4:1 was just based on the last day of data, so there could also be additional variation... the fact that remains is the Whales do vote more for authors with established reputation and when they vote for new users they do seem to give votes to content and authors that may not deserve it as much as others... I've been tracking some interesting cases and posting about them as well.
I do believe it has been improving over the past few weeks. Subjective point of view, however there has been a marked improvement in diversity in Author and Content on the Trending list. Still a long way to go, but I do believe it is in everyone's interests togged smarter with curation..
Maybe it is improving slowly, haven't got the data to analyze... not that it cannot be collected, but subjectively talking it really seems to be getting at least a bit better.
I'm not checking the Trending page often simply because it rarely has something interesting for me, and even if it does the chances are I have already read the post before it got there... the only positive thing I see there is pretty much that the rewards are at a more reasonable levels now with the Steem dropping in value. Otherwise they were really giving the wrong message going way to high and at the same time new users still struggling to make it past 0.00 or just a few cent rewards :)
Stats don't lie. This is certainly an area for improvement moving forward...
Hopefully the ratio will change over time in a positive way, but what we really need is a stronger middle class of users that can actually do enough without having to rely on whale votes...
When looking at stats like this, it would also be good to asses how much of the new users are producing quality. Whilst the ratio needs to be improved, there still needs to be an element of earning your votes. Getting ones just because you're new, is counterproductive.
Cg
Having a whale vote for a new user's post should mean that it is not a crappy post (most of the time, thogh there are also exceptions) and I have seen a lot of people with good posts that don't get much votes, so it is also not like there isn't enough good content from new users...
When I first read about the curation rewards, I set myself a creed that I would reward posts based on what I liked, when I read them. It was easy to make that choice as a new user with no voting power, and so no real reward potential. But it has helped keep me from chasing minuscule rewards. I do feel free to comment all over, across a wide variety of subjects.