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I was wondering the same thing. Do you think one scenario is more or less likely to occur? What factors do you think will play into which direction it goes?

To be honest i cannot rly lean towards any scenario, the reason beeing that the business model of steemit influences the market so much, another beeing that the technology , the platform, aswell as the business model are still in "beta". As mentioned in my post i will make a whole separate post on that matter in the near future! Thank you for asking!