In my last statistic post about steemmonster, I found out that the Green team seems to be weaker than other splinter. Now I created a more detailed view.
The following data includes only the battles from the ongoing tournament (start date: 2018-11-26 14:00:00). I excluded all matches where the mana cap is not equal the mana sum of the used cards.
Thus, matches are counted in which both teams have used the optimal mana sum equal to the mana cap.
Results
The team win ratio shows how often a splinter has won. For matches where both splinter are equal, the winning rate is 100%, e.g. Blue vs Blue has a Blue team win ratio of 100%.
Blue team match statistics
Novice - Blue team
| match | played matches | Blue team win ratio |
|---|
| Blue vs Blue | 70 | 100.00 % |
| Blue vs Red | 120 | 54.17 % |
| Blue vs Green | 102 | 71.57 % |
| Blue vs White | 73 | 52.05 % |
| Blue vs Black | 89 | 33.71 % |
| Blue vs Gold | 13 | 38.46 % |
Bronze - Blue team
| match | played matches | Blue team win ratio |
|---|
| Blue vs Blue | 279 | 100.00 % |
| Blue vs Red | 417 | 48.20 % |
| Blue vs Green | 517 | 59.57 % |
| Blue vs White | 382 | 55.50 % |
| Blue vs Black | 348 | 39.37 % |
| Blue vs Gold | 31 | 32.26 % |
Silver - Blue team
| match | played matches | Blue team win ratio |
|---|
| Blue vs Blue | 3889 | 100.00 % |
| Blue vs Red | 5609 | 48.85 % |
| Blue vs Green | 5026 | 56.61 % |
| Blue vs White | 5196 | 51.83 % |
| Blue vs Black | 6673 | 44.25 % |
| Blue vs Gold | 809 | 40.79 % |
Gold - Blue team
| match | played matches | Blue team win ratio |
|---|
| Blue vs Blue | 1426 | 100.00 % |
| Blue vs Red | 1825 | 46.79 % |
| Blue vs Green | 1745 | 53.58 % |
| Blue vs White | 1885 | 46.37 % |
| Blue vs Black | 2604 | 40.98 % |
| Blue vs Gold | 644 | 36.96 % |
Diamond - Blue team
| match | played matches | Blue team win ratio |
|---|
| Blue vs Blue | 380 | 100.00 % |
| Blue vs Red | 515 | 49.51 % |
| Blue vs Green | 411 | 53.28 % |
| Blue vs White | 468 | 52.56 % |
| Blue vs Black | 721 | 42.72 % |
| Blue vs Gold | 380 | 41.58 % |
Champion - Blue team
| match | played matches | Blue team win ratio |
|---|
| Blue vs Blue | 287 | 100.00 % |
| Blue vs Red | 393 | 47.07 % |
| Blue vs Green | 266 | 59.02 % |
| Blue vs White | 365 | 52.60 % |
| Blue vs Black | 382 | 52.36 % |
| Blue vs Gold | 518 | 46.91 % |
Red team match statistics
Novice - Red team
| match | played matches | Red team win ratio |
|---|
| Red vs Blue | 105 | 51.43 % |
| Red vs Red | 49 | 100.00 % |
| Red vs Green | 91 | 56.04 % |
| Red vs White | 78 | 47.44 % |
| Red vs Black | 100 | 31.00 % |
| Red vs Gold | 5 | 40.00 % |
Bronze - Red team
| match | played matches | Red team win ratio |
|---|
| Red vs Blue | 424 | 54.95 % |
| Red vs Red | 214 | 100.00 % |
| Red vs Green | 460 | 57.61 % |
| Red vs White | 348 | 39.66 % |
| Red vs Black | 373 | 29.22 % |
| Red vs Gold | 33 | 24.24 % |
Silver - Red team
| match | played matches | Red team win ratio |
|---|
| Red vs Blue | 5617 | 50.79 % |
| Red vs Red | 3272 | 100.00 % |
| Red vs Green | 4407 | 49.97 % |
| Red vs White | 4863 | 42.87 % |
| Red vs Black | 6102 | 36.86 % |
| Red vs Gold | 656 | 36.43 % |
Gold - Red team
| match | played matches | Red team win ratio |
|---|
| Red vs Blue | 1824 | 53.23 % |
| Red vs Red | 1009 | 100.00 % |
| Red vs Green | 1444 | 56.37 % |
| Red vs White | 1580 | 46.46 % |
| Red vs Black | 2245 | 42.94 % |
| Red vs Gold | 549 | 46.99 % |
Diamond - Red team
| match | played matches | Red team win ratio |
|---|
| Red vs Blue | 516 | 50.39 % |
| Red vs Red | 363 | 100.00 % |
| Red vs Green | 457 | 61.49 % |
| Red vs White | 435 | 47.36 % |
| Red vs Black | 712 | 46.21 % |
| Red vs Gold | 427 | 46.37 % |
Champion - Red team
| match | played matches | Red team win ratio |
|---|
| Red vs Blue | 393 | 52.93 % |
| Red vs Red | 362 | 100.00 % |
| Red vs Green | 265 | 64.91 % |
| Red vs White | 408 | 47.55 % |
| Red vs Black | 468 | 54.06 % |
| Red vs Gold | 581 | 54.91 % |
Green team match statistics
Novice - Green team
| match | played matches | Green team win ratio |
|---|
| Green vs Blue | 95 | 36.84 % |
| Green vs Red | 110 | 48.18 % |
| Green vs Green | 56 | 100.00 % |
| Green vs White | 68 | 41.18 % |
| Green vs Black | 101 | 21.78 % |
| Green vs Gold | 12 | 16.67 % |
Bronze - Green team
| match | played matches | Green team win ratio |
|---|
| Green vs Blue | 500 | 43.60 % |
| Green vs Red | 431 | 44.55 % |
| Green vs Green | 264 | 100.00 % |
| Green vs White | 387 | 40.31 % |
| Green vs Black | 381 | 25.20 % |
| Green vs Gold | 22 | 22.73 % |
Silver - Green team
| match | played matches | Green team win ratio |
|---|
| Green vs Blue | 5048 | 42.93 % |
| Green vs Red | 4414 | 49.68 % |
| Green vs Green | 2592 | 100.00 % |
| Green vs White | 4236 | 43.15 % |
| Green vs Black | 5296 | 35.08 % |
| Green vs Gold | 629 | 30.68 % |
Gold - Green team
| match | played matches | Green team win ratio |
|---|
| Green vs Blue | 1747 | 46.31 % |
| Green vs Red | 1446 | 43.71 % |
| Green vs Green | 890 | 100.00 % |
| Green vs White | 1357 | 45.62 % |
| Green vs Black | 2108 | 42.22 % |
| Green vs Gold | 465 | 37.85 % |
Diamond - Green team
| match | played matches | Green team win ratio |
|---|
| Green vs Blue | 411 | 46.72 % |
| Green vs Red | 458 | 38.43 % |
| Green vs Green | 259 | 100.00 % |
| Green vs White | 367 | 47.68 % |
| Green vs Black | 651 | 47.00 % |
| Green vs Gold | 338 | 38.76 % |
Champion - Green team
| match | played matches | Green team win ratio |
|---|
| Green vs Blue | 266 | 40.98 % |
| Green vs Red | 265 | 35.09 % |
| Green vs Green | 107 | 100.00 % |
| Green vs White | 247 | 43.72 % |
| Green vs Black | 294 | 44.90 % |
| Green vs Gold | 326 | 40.80 % |
White team match statistics
Novice - White team
| match | played matches | White team win ratio |
|---|
| White vs Blue | 75 | 46.67 % |
| White vs Red | 85 | 60.00 % |
| White vs Green | 83 | 74.70 % |
| White vs White | 38 | 100.00 % |
| White vs Black | 64 | 18.75 % |
| White vs Gold | 7 | 14.29 % |
Bronze - White team
| match | played matches | White team win ratio |
|---|
| White vs Blue | 373 | 51.21 % |
| White vs Red | 345 | 64.06 % |
| White vs Green | 384 | 61.46 % |
| White vs White | 156 | 100.00 % |
| White vs Black | 291 | 24.05 % |
| White vs Gold | 20 | 35.00 % |
Silver - White team
| match | played matches | White team win ratio |
|---|
| White vs Blue | 5200 | 47.71 % |
| White vs Red | 4858 | 56.77 % |
| White vs Green | 4223 | 56.38 % |
| White vs White | 2727 | 100.00 % |
| White vs Black | 5563 | 32.32 % |
| White vs Gold | 570 | 42.28 % |
Gold - White team
| match | played matches | White team win ratio |
|---|
| White vs Blue | 1888 | 53.60 % |
| White vs Red | 1580 | 53.42 % |
| White vs Green | 1358 | 54.34 % |
| White vs White | 968 | 100.00 % |
| White vs Black | 2168 | 42.20 % |
| White vs Gold | 552 | 49.28 % |
Diamond - White team
| match | played matches | White team win ratio |
|---|
| White vs Blue | 469 | 47.33 % |
| White vs Red | 436 | 52.75 % |
| White vs Green | 367 | 52.32 % |
| White vs White | 289 | 100.00 % |
| White vs Black | 625 | 44.48 % |
| White vs Gold | 367 | 44.14 % |
Champion - White team
| match | played matches | White team win ratio |
|---|
| White vs Blue | 364 | 47.53 % |
| White vs Red | 408 | 52.45 % |
| White vs Green | 247 | 56.28 % |
| White vs White | 295 | 100.00 % |
| White vs Black | 368 | 44.84 % |
| White vs Gold | 549 | 53.92 % |
Black team match statistics
Novice - Black team
| match | played matches | Black team win ratio |
|---|
| Black vs Blue | 113 | 66.37 % |
| Black vs Red | 97 | 77.32 % |
| Black vs Green | 84 | 82.14 % |
| Black vs White | 72 | 83.33 % |
| Black vs Black | 46 | 100.00 % |
| Black vs Gold | 11 | 63.64 % |
Bronze - Black team
| match | played matches | Black team win ratio |
|---|
| Black vs Blue | 328 | 67.68 % |
| Black vs Red | 382 | 72.77 % |
| Black vs Green | 405 | 79.51 % |
| Black vs White | 297 | 78.45 % |
| Black vs Black | 229 | 100.00 % |
| Black vs Gold | 21 | 38.10 % |
Silver - Black team
| match | played matches | Black team win ratio |
|---|
| Black vs Blue | 6673 | 55.39 % |
| Black vs Red | 6100 | 62.85 % |
| Black vs Green | 5287 | 64.54 % |
| Black vs White | 5551 | 67.48 % |
| Black vs Black | 4879 | 100.00 % |
| Black vs Gold | 912 | 30.04 % |
Gold - Black team
| match | played matches | Black team win ratio |
|---|
| Black vs Blue | 2600 | 59.00 % |
| Black vs Red | 2241 | 57.07 % |
| Black vs Green | 2108 | 57.69 % |
| Black vs White | 2164 | 57.81 % |
| Black vs Black | 2197 | 100.00 % |
| Black vs Gold | 781 | 38.28 % |
Diamond - Black team
| match | played matches | Black team win ratio |
|---|
| Black vs Blue | 721 | 57.28 % |
| Black vs Red | 712 | 53.93 % |
| Black vs Green | 653 | 52.99 % |
| Black vs White | 627 | 55.50 % |
| Black vs Black | 746 | 100.00 % |
| Black vs Gold | 520 | 35.38 % |
Champion - Black team
| match | played matches | Black team win ratio |
|---|
| Black vs Blue | 382 | 47.64 % |
| Black vs Red | 468 | 45.94 % |
| Black vs Green | 294 | 55.10 % |
| Black vs White | 368 | 55.16 % |
| Black vs Black | 298 | 100.00 % |
| Black vs Gold | 502 | 41.63 % |
Gold team match statistics
Novice - Gold team
| match | played matches | Gold team win ratio |
|---|
| Gold vs Blue | 14 | 64.29 % |
| Gold vs Red | 13 | 84.62 % |
| Gold vs Green | 4 | 75.00 % |
| Gold vs White | 6 | 83.33 % |
| Gold vs Black | 7 | 42.86 % |
| Gold vs Gold | 0 | 0.00 % |
Bronze - Gold team
| match | played matches | Gold team win ratio |
|---|
| Gold vs Blue | 37 | 78.38 % |
| Gold vs Red | 28 | 75.00 % |
| Gold vs Green | 43 | 86.05 % |
| Gold vs White | 29 | 68.97 % |
| Gold vs Black | 30 | 70.00 % |
| Gold vs Gold | 1 | 100.00 % |
Silver - Gold team
| match | played matches | Gold team win ratio |
|---|
| Gold vs Blue | 803 | 58.66 % |
| Gold vs Red | 653 | 63.25 % |
| Gold vs Green | 617 | 68.72 % |
| Gold vs White | 562 | 57.30 % |
| Gold vs Black | 907 | 69.68 % |
| Gold vs Gold | 133 | 100.00 % |
Gold - Gold team
| match | played matches | Gold team win ratio |
|---|
| Gold vs Blue | 643 | 62.99 % |
| Gold vs Red | 549 | 53.19 % |
| Gold vs Green | 465 | 62.15 % |
| Gold vs White | 553 | 50.81 % |
| Gold vs Black | 781 | 61.72 % |
| Gold vs Gold | 202 | 100.00 % |
Diamond - Gold team
| match | played matches | Gold team win ratio |
|---|
| Gold vs Blue | 382 | 58.38 % |
| Gold vs Red | 427 | 53.40 % |
| Gold vs Green | 337 | 61.13 % |
| Gold vs White | 366 | 56.01 % |
| Gold vs Black | 520 | 64.42 % |
| Gold vs Gold | 288 | 100.00 % |
Champion - Gold team
| match | played matches | Gold team win ratio |
|---|
| Gold vs Blue | 516 | 53.10 % |
| Gold vs Red | 581 | 45.09 % |
| Gold vs Green | 326 | 59.20 % |
| Gold vs White | 549 | 46.08 % |
| Gold vs Black | 502 | 58.37 % |
| Gold vs Gold | 654 | 100.00 % |
Conclusion
The Blue team (water) is weak against the Red (fire) and the Gold (dragon) team. Blue is weak against the Black team below the Champion league.
The Red team (fire) is weak against the White (life) team. Below the Champion league, the Red team is also weak against the Black (death) and the Gold (dragon) team.
The Green team (earth) is weak against every other splinter.
The White team (life) is weak against the Black (death) and Blue (water) team. Below the Champion league, the White team is also weak against the Gold (dragon) team.
The Black team (death) is weak against the Blue, Red and Gold team.
The Gold team (dragon) is weak against the Red and the White team.
Summary for Champion league
| splinter | weak against | strong against |
|---|
| Blue | Red, Gold, | Green, White, Black |
| Red | White | Blue, Green, Black, Gold |
| Green | Blue, Red, White, Black, Gold | - |
| White | Blue, Black | Red, Green, Gold |
| Black | Blue, Red, Gold | Green, White |
| Gold | Red, White | Blue, Green, Black |
So it seems that Green/Earth is the weakest splinter and should not be used but for solving a quest. Is could be that Gold in combination with Green is strong. This is something, I will analyze next.
As far as I know it doesn't count for the quest if you play Gold in combination with green.
Posted using Partiko Android
Gold in combination with Green does not count for solving a Green/Earth quest.
So you should all the time reroll the green quest?
Posted using Partiko Android
So far I reroll every green, and sometimes blue (after a few tries), but sketchy with blue since you could get green lol
Posted using Partiko Android
I have no problem with blue, it is the splinter where I have the most good cards and tactics.
Posted using Partiko Android
Nice! I like blue, but my alrics still level 1 and I'm trying to not buy any cards. Got a level two Xia from packs somehow though
Posted using Partiko Android
Yeah my alrics is also still lvl 1, but I am still able to win games around 1100
Posted using Partiko Android
great analysis. Thank you!
Thank you so much for participating the Partiko Delegation Plan Round 1! We really appreciate your support! As part of the delegation benefits, we just gave you a 3.00% upvote! Together, let’s change the world!
Grat analysis @holger80. You confirmed what I could see in the battlechain with red really OP in Champion + and Serpent having really limited countering option like mage (which do not always work given higher speed on red cards) or expensive money wise cards (like neb-seni to slow enemy team or shin-lo).
What do you think on this @glory7?
How did you extract data btw? From Peakmonsters I could see a rise in winning percentage selecting Red.
Very cool do you analyse API data or do you create your own database and then analyse?
Yes, I have the one million battles in my database. You need to know all trx from the custom_json transactions. There is a API to receive the battle result from a trx id.
Posted using Partiko Android
Hi, @holger80!
You just got a 2.65% upvote from SteemPlus!
To get higher upvotes, earn more SteemPlus Points (SPP). On your Steemit wallet, check your SPP balance and click on "How to earn SPP?" to find out all the ways to earn.
If you're not using SteemPlus yet, please check our last posts in here to see the many ways in which SteemPlus can improve your Steem experience on Steemit and Busy.
I wonder what the Green/Earth splinter looks like if you include a neutral sniper ... the native sniper (Spirit of the Forest) is a bit expensive in mana. Although, that alone doesn't explain it because the White/Life doesn't have a native sniper at all.
Wow Green splinter doesn't have a winning record vs ANY of the splinters. Surprised to see that especially considering the Spirit of the forest recent nerf. Maybe the nerf wasn't needed? Maybe green needs a buff in a different area?
Hi @holger80!
Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 7.270 which ranks you at #65 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has improved 2 places in the last three days (old rank 67).
In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 277 contributions, your post is ranked at #1. Congratulations!
Evaluation of your UA score:
Feel free to join our @steem-ua Discord server
I have a theory why the Green splinter is so much worse then the others. In my experience most bots (and there are quite many in my opinion) only play with the green splinter. They only use 1 monster (a "Flesh Golem" in most cases) and therefore always loose.
For example @nicestbot
or @monster2000
As you see they have a really bad win/loose rate (about 1:4) and as they are playing quite a lot, I think they will also have quite a big impact.
Some of my battles with bots:
https://steemmonsters.com?battle=e6310df13ae97633305fa9c37501c5ed0006b1e4&ref=hawk399
https://steemmonsters.com?battle=192e87f98ce2b1629807bbfb19952fd046f5d006&ref=hawk399
https://steemmonsters.com?battle=abb3a234e574efcf7d200e41a9c753f939ff2ac8&ref=hawk399
https://steemmonsters.com?battle=984eb54a7a30f41b113f0f34099aaee5f2b7328c&ref=hawk399
I saw this too and exculded all matches where one player did not have used the maximum allowed mana.
Edit: forget a not
Posted using Partiko Android
Thanks for the answer, but why would you exclude the matches where one player used up all mana? This wouldn't exclude the bots I was fighting. Maybe you meant that you exclude all other matches where one player isn't using all his mana? Also I think this would give false positives. Maybe filter it for players that have a really bad Win:Loose rate (for example 1:2)?
I excluded all matches where less than the manacap is used. Maybe I was not clear enough. Example : mana cap is 15. When both player selected a team with 15 mana, it counted. But when one player has a mana sum below 15, I exclude this match.
Posted using Partiko Android
I forget a not above
Posted using Partiko Android
img credz: pixabay.com
Nice, you got a 82.2% @minnowbooster upgoat, thanks to @reggaemuffin
BuildTeam wishes everyone a great Christmas and bullish Holidays
Want a boost? Minnowbooster's got your back!
This is so awesome. Thanks for compiling this for us. I haven't actually played in a while (after a 15 game losing streak broke my spirits 😢) but I've been thinking of getting back into it. Will be fun to experiment based on this.