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thauerbyi (-4)Hivebuzz level badge

1315 followers6202 posts299 following95 HP
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Joined July 2017 Active 1 hour ago

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  • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • yesterday

    INTERNAL MEMO — EYES ONLY

    INTERNAL MEMO — EYES ONLY Re: The Long Bond Is Trying to Tell You Something. Are You Listening? To: Anyone still long duration From: The Yield Curve Date: May 30…
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    • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 2 days ago

      The Theology of Zero Yield

      The Theology of Zero Yield There is a story bitcoin believers tell about themselves, and it goes something like this: in a world of endless money-printing, debased currencies…
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      • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 3 days ago

        Stream of Consciousness from the Desk of a Bitcoin True Believer, May 28, 2026

        Stream of Consciousness from the Desk of a Bitcoin True Believer, May 28, 2026 This is not investment advice. This is a state of mind. Okay. Okay. Deep breath. $1.29…
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        • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 4 days ago

          Nobody Panic (Everyone Is Panicking)

          Nobody Panic (Everyone Is Panicking) Wednesday, 27 May 2026 Brent crude: ~$103 | Gold: $4,490 | BTC: ~$77k | 10-yr Treasury: 4.46% | US debt-to-GDP…
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          • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 5 days ago

            The Trap Was Always the Bond Market

            The Trap Was Always the Bond Market Iran talk drove Brent below $97 this morning. Futures are green. The dollar is soft. European peripheral spreads are narrowing. Every risk…
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            • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 6 days ago

              Congratulations, You Got What You Wanted

              Congratulations, You Got What You Wanted Markets & Macro — Issue No. 48 — Monday, May 25, 2026 Bitcoin is at $75,860. The CLARITY Act just passed committee. BlackRock's…
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              • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 7 days ago

                Notes Toward an Understanding of a Number That Cannot Be Real

                Notes Toward an Understanding of a Number That Cannot Be Real $81.62 billion. One quarter. One company. Ninety days. I keep writing it down and then staring at it and it…
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                • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 8 days ago

                  WHAT THE NUMBERS FEEL

                  WHAT THE NUMBERS FEEL A dispatch from the bottom of the Michigan survey 44.8. Sit with that for a moment. The University of Michigan's final consumer sentiment reading…
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                  • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 9 days ago

                    Notes From Inside the Contradiction

                    Notes From Inside the Contradiction Friday morning. Coffee. The University of Michigan releases its final May consumer sentiment reading today. The preliminary was 48.2 — a…
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                    • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 10 days ago

                      Notes From Inside the Contradiction

                      Notes From Inside the Contradiction A monologue, approximately 6:47am, somewhere with bad coffee Okay. Let's try to hold this in our heads simultaneously. Nvidia just…
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                      • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 11 days ago

                        Dear Gold: An Apology

                        Dear Gold: An Apology I owe you an apology. For two years I told anyone who would listen. Gold. Own gold. The Fed will capitulate, real yields will roll over, the dollar will…
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                        • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 12 days ago

                          Dinner Plate Chips and Dead Coins

                          Dinner Plate Chips and Dead Coins Tuesday, 19 May 2026 · Anonymous Financial Letter The AI IPO machine just swallowed its first test subject whole. Bitcoin is bleeding…
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                          • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 13 days ago

                            The Summit Was Always Going to Be a Photo

                            The Summit Was Always Going to Be a Photo Deep-Dive · Geopolitics & Energy · Monday, 18 May 2026 Somewhere between the Great Hall of the People and Air Force One, the…
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                            • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 14 days ago

                              Notes Toward a Eulogy for the CLARITY Act Rally

                              Notes Toward a Eulogy for the CLARITY Act Rally The Dispatch · No. 215 · May 17, 2026 · Markets / Crypto / Macro BTC ~$77,800 ▼  |  ETH $2,214 ▼3.8%  |  XRP…
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                              • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 15 days ago

                                Anyone still holding semis at Thursday's close

                                TO: Anyone still holding semis at Thursday's close FROM: The part of your brain that reads balance sheets RE: What just happened, and why you knew it would DATE:…
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                                • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 16 days ago

                                  The Gospel of the Dinner-Plate Chip

                                  The Gospel of the Dinner-Plate Chip Cerebras hit $311 on its first day of trading and nobody asked the only question that matters. We did. The answer is uncomfortable.…
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                                  • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 17 days ago

                                    The Succession

                                    The Succession Jerome Powell's last day as Federal Reserve chair is Friday. Eight years. Three presidents, technically, though the third one spent most of his tenure trying to…
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                                    • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 18 days ago

                                      The Last Week of the World Powell Built

                                      The Last Week of the World Powell Built Friday, May 15. Circle it. Powell's out. Warsh is in. Eight years of one man's hand on the most powerful monetary lever in human…
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                                      • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 19 days ago

                                        Trump lands in Beijing in forty-eight hours and the financial press is writing about optics

                                        MEMO: Things Nobody Is Watching TO: Anyone paying attention FROM: — RE: Beijing, Wednesday. The clock nobody reset. DATE: 12 May 2026 Trump lands in Beijing…
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                                        • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 20 days ago

                                          Two Screens

                                          Two Screens Equities & Energy · Monday, 11 May 2026 · No Attribution Screen one: Micron up 124% year-to-date. SK Hynix at a record in Seoul this morning, +5% before lunch.…
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