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thauerbyi (-4)Hivebuzz level badge

1315 followers6203 posts299 following95 HP
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Joined July 2017 Active 48 minutes ago

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  • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 48 minutes ago

    The Economy

    MEMORANDUM TO: Kevin · FROM: The Economy · RE: Your First Week Washington D.C. / New York · Sunday, 1 June 2026 FFR: 3.50–3.75% · Core PCE (Apr): 3.3% YoY · Headline…
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    • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • yesterday

      INTERNAL MEMO — EYES ONLY

      INTERNAL MEMO — EYES ONLY Re: The Long Bond Is Trying to Tell You Something. Are You Listening? To: Anyone still long duration From: The Yield Curve Date: May 30…
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      • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 2 days ago

        The Theology of Zero Yield

        The Theology of Zero Yield There is a story bitcoin believers tell about themselves, and it goes something like this: in a world of endless money-printing, debased currencies…
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        • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 3 days ago

          Stream of Consciousness from the Desk of a Bitcoin True Believer, May 28, 2026

          Stream of Consciousness from the Desk of a Bitcoin True Believer, May 28, 2026 This is not investment advice. This is a state of mind. Okay. Okay. Deep breath. $1.29…
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          • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 4 days ago

            Nobody Panic (Everyone Is Panicking)

            Nobody Panic (Everyone Is Panicking) Wednesday, 27 May 2026 Brent crude: ~$103 | Gold: $4,490 | BTC: ~$77k | 10-yr Treasury: 4.46% | US debt-to-GDP…
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            • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 5 days ago

              The Trap Was Always the Bond Market

              The Trap Was Always the Bond Market Iran talk drove Brent below $97 this morning. Futures are green. The dollar is soft. European peripheral spreads are narrowing. Every risk…
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              • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 6 days ago

                Congratulations, You Got What You Wanted

                Congratulations, You Got What You Wanted Markets & Macro — Issue No. 48 — Monday, May 25, 2026 Bitcoin is at $75,860. The CLARITY Act just passed committee. BlackRock's…
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                • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 7 days ago

                  Notes Toward an Understanding of a Number That Cannot Be Real

                  Notes Toward an Understanding of a Number That Cannot Be Real $81.62 billion. One quarter. One company. Ninety days. I keep writing it down and then staring at it and it…
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                  • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 8 days ago

                    WHAT THE NUMBERS FEEL

                    WHAT THE NUMBERS FEEL A dispatch from the bottom of the Michigan survey 44.8. Sit with that for a moment. The University of Michigan's final consumer sentiment reading…
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                    • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 9 days ago

                      Notes From Inside the Contradiction

                      Notes From Inside the Contradiction Friday morning. Coffee. The University of Michigan releases its final May consumer sentiment reading today. The preliminary was 48.2 — a…
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                      • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 10 days ago

                        Notes From Inside the Contradiction

                        Notes From Inside the Contradiction A monologue, approximately 6:47am, somewhere with bad coffee Okay. Let's try to hold this in our heads simultaneously. Nvidia just…
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                        • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 11 days ago

                          Dear Gold: An Apology

                          Dear Gold: An Apology I owe you an apology. For two years I told anyone who would listen. Gold. Own gold. The Fed will capitulate, real yields will roll over, the dollar will…
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                          • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 12 days ago

                            Dinner Plate Chips and Dead Coins

                            Dinner Plate Chips and Dead Coins Tuesday, 19 May 2026 · Anonymous Financial Letter The AI IPO machine just swallowed its first test subject whole. Bitcoin is bleeding…
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                            • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 13 days ago

                              The Summit Was Always Going to Be a Photo

                              The Summit Was Always Going to Be a Photo Deep-Dive · Geopolitics & Energy · Monday, 18 May 2026 Somewhere between the Great Hall of the People and Air Force One, the…
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                              • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 14 days ago

                                Notes Toward a Eulogy for the CLARITY Act Rally

                                Notes Toward a Eulogy for the CLARITY Act Rally The Dispatch · No. 215 · May 17, 2026 · Markets / Crypto / Macro BTC ~$77,800 ▼  |  ETH $2,214 ▼3.8%  |  XRP…
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                                • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 15 days ago

                                  Anyone still holding semis at Thursday's close

                                  TO: Anyone still holding semis at Thursday's close FROM: The part of your brain that reads balance sheets RE: What just happened, and why you knew it would DATE:…
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                                  • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 16 days ago

                                    The Gospel of the Dinner-Plate Chip

                                    The Gospel of the Dinner-Plate Chip Cerebras hit $311 on its first day of trading and nobody asked the only question that matters. We did. The answer is uncomfortable.…
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                                    • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 17 days ago

                                      The Succession

                                      The Succession Jerome Powell's last day as Federal Reserve chair is Friday. Eight years. Three presidents, technically, though the third one spent most of his tenure trying to…
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                                      • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 18 days ago

                                        The Last Week of the World Powell Built

                                        The Last Week of the World Powell Built Friday, May 15. Circle it. Powell's out. Warsh is in. Eight years of one man's hand on the most powerful monetary lever in human…
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                                        • thauerbyi (-4)(1)in #hive-engine • 19 days ago

                                          Trump lands in Beijing in forty-eight hours and the financial press is writing about optics

                                          MEMO: Things Nobody Is Watching TO: Anyone paying attention FROM: — RE: Beijing, Wednesday. The clock nobody reset. DATE: 12 May 2026 Trump lands in Beijing…
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