I just have to mention this. I do so out of both respect for you and concern for your benefit.
"Please stop believing in fairy tales."
You say this in reference to an alleged post on a Mongolian basket-weaving forum, because it's possible that post isn't able to be provably located in an archive of that forum. Personally I found the content of that post more fantastic than the lack of verfiability, but either way, I agree it's not useful as investment criteria. You later say the following.
"It's also a full moon and a supermoon today, which means the moon will be closer to Earth than usual and pull with a little more gravity. If the market moves with the moon cycle, as it often does, we should get a pretty decent recovery from here... at least for a week or two."
Additionally you refer to MA lines crossing as investment criteria, and other things.
Now, it is obvious that investing isn't science. The strongest balance sheet, best management team in history, and superior product line to all competition doesn't guarantee success. The best quantification of the influence of such things on a stock price is statistical, a range of probability, and that could certainly go awry because investors didn't hold their tongues right. But, the phases of the moon aren't any less fairy tales in terms of quantifying risk than 4chan larps.
Educated guessing is the best we can hope to do, but unquantified factors aren't able to educate. Seriously. Phases of the moon? I'll point out that both phases of the moon and BTC price are quantities that can be tracked back in time. You can quantify their association, or the lack of it. I don't think you did that, so what is the basis for considering phases of the moon investment signals? I think you're fully capable of holding yourself to that standard, of quantifying risk and reward regarding factors like that, rather than developing a mewing habit so you're holding your tongue right when you invest.
"...three moving averages are on a collision course that should occur mid to late month. These would all be death crosses between MA(50) and MA(100) with the 200 DMA. Unclear if this would actually be bearish or just noise..."
It's unclear because you haven't looked back at pricing history when these events occur to see if there's statistical relevance to them or not. Same with pennants, heads and shoulders, and etc. Not long ago there was a 'death cross' that didn't produce a sharp decline, which the very name 'death cross' suggests should be all but guaranteed. Your above discussion reveals death crosses aren't actually reliable investment signals.
You can take your money seriously, or hope you're lucky and hunches pay out. Which is more likely to be able to retire on? Quantify as best you can the information you're basing your investments on, because educated guesses require education, and that isn't just hunches.
I encourage you to do so, rather than to increasingly develop superstition on which you base financial and investment decisions. Quantify your data. Make educated guesses, or you're just believing in fairy tales. 'Somehow I still feel...' isn't an educated guess. It's a hunch, and given the depth and breadth of psychological manipulation we suffer, could be engineered to make you vulnerable to being taken to the cleaners. When you can say 'I still feel...because supermoons correlate to increased price 72% of the time...', then you can properly estimate risk and reward, and invest accordingly. But you have to actually quantify the signal to be educated about it.
"...we need to remember that the entire system is rigged." Crashes are engineered. They don't surprise Blackrock. They're profit taking. Hedge.
Thanks!