Woohoo, I got the last one right! I like this comp :-)
For this one I really have no idea, but am going on pure gut just like the last one I guess.
I reckon no #1 is fake, merely because I think the carving is a bit too over the top for the French, I reckon they're much more understated. Plus I think the bevelling on the mirror doesn't look right, a bit too modern.
Nice comp, I don't really care about the prize money, I just like the idea of trying to spot fakes, there's an antique dealer hiding in all of us somewhere, or at least I'd like to think that :-)