A feisty start to the year isn't it?
Twitter is currently censoring crypto contents at the moment, and it's looking like Elon musk doesn't seem to want it, and his hound dog NikitaBier is doing everything possible to delete, ban or remove monetisation from crypto hustlers, especially those who have been grinding crypto projects on Twitter.
Basically KOL accounts are bo longer allowed to shill crypto projects without adding that it's a paid deal, else they risk a ban, and this means I can not even consider building a crypto content account on Twitter anymore, and I'd probably have to consider another niche: football. Since the end goal will also be to bag content monetization.
Trading woes
So I recently started trading on polymarket and the first one week was relatively profitable, was thinking of scaling trading by adding a bit of automation. I discovered a really good trading strategy and I tested it.
It was good and I had about 90% winning rate which was very good, but then the platform started lagging and weren't getting realtime updates again.
Somehow I felt this was actually intentional and they intended to misled traders. After this they started manipulating the live price feed, and the first couple of losses happened and wiped me out 40%.
I continued again, and got another 10% loss, and another 10% and I had to withdraw my initial investment and just a tiny profit, left a little to continue testing more trading strategies, but I've only incurred more losses.
I'm still trying to brainstorm more strategies but it's really becoming exhausting.
The market is generally bad at the moment even though BTC is maintaining a resistance around the 60k range, the general sentiment isn't good.
There also aren't any black swan events, or those sort of news that can tank prices 50% in a day, but I think this is relatively because the market didn't end euphorically. Every crypto market cycle should end this way, but this is the first time it hasn't and it looks like opportunities are thinned.
Trading futures or PRE-TGE is something that's currently possible with crypto at the moment, but you require some insane level of skills and also some decent liquidity to start with, and unless you have this, it'll definitely not work out.
Also, liquidity is currently thin with retail, and the main reason is because of the losses suffered by many folks. In the grand scheme of things I think we all have to accept that the market is shifting and doing things differently, however, is it going to be to the favour of the common man? I don't know yet.
State of the market
Overall it doesn't look like there's going to be a pump from here, all we're probably going to get is a massive dump of BTC till maybe 40k then the bottom will be in. However for alts, it's going to be a disaster.
Most alts are already at a -90% and another -50% dump from BTC means that whatever current alts price we currently have might do another -70%.
This is going to be brutal, but we should be fine. For example, plume network is one of the first alpha RWA projects and a solid one at that, and price is currently -90% at the moment, but this is not a reflection of what the project is.
So basically these prices will linger, especially for many projects and Hive including. Only the toughest will come out of the other side in 2027/2028.
So basically, hang on. Keep trying and keep looking for other opportunities as well.
At the moment everyone is currently hibernating and waiting for things to get better, 2026 might be a very challenging year for crypto, if we can survive this and survive 2027 as well...... then. Survive, live, come out from the ashes
It’s exhausting to keep brainstorming strategies when the sentiment is this low, but hibernating is better than over-trading into a grave. Hive is a great place to park that energy while X tries to figure out what it wants to be.
Yes, Hive has always been home and will always be, I think we have about 2 years and it'll all be over, and the market can be bullish once again.
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