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Russia not gonna invade Finland or europe. Russia does not have any motive to do so. what could happen if central is Asia--destabilizing and what effects it may have Finnish point of view is something like this. refugee crisis: refugees from central-asia countries come to Finland in a large scale. energy crisis: we are dependent on oil that comes on eurasia. Diplomatic crisis with Russia: lets take hypothetical situation were For example someone is trying to do coup d'état in Belarus and fails to do so. then person who is responsible for unsuccessful coup d'état in belarus ask political asylum in Finland. Russia says that this person is a terrorist an EU say you have to give political asylum. This kind of crisis can affect so many ways that it is impossible to predict what will happen.