Part 7/14:
The discussion shifts to military relations, with the core concern being whether the US and China can reach an understanding to prevent conflicts, particularly over Taiwan and regional dominance. Friedman emphasizes that the US’s decreasing dependency on Chinese imports—especially in strategic sectors—has been driven by fears of potential conflict. The recent de-escalation in Chinese military exercises around Taiwan suggests some progress in diplomatic dialogues, although underlying tensions persist.
Friedman observes that both the US and China have an interest in avoiding military confrontation, which could be catastrophic. The declining trust and mutual suspicion, especially related to Taiwan, remain unresolved but are being managed through strategic negotiations.