Part 2/11:
According to an exclusive Bloomberg poll discussed in recent reports, Zoran Mandani is favored heavily outside of New York City, with betting markets assigning him a 90% probability of victory. Conversely, within the city among informed voters—those who genuinely understand the political landscape—there’s a notable lead for Andrew Cuomo, who currently holds about a 9% advantage.
This discrepancy suggests that external prediction markets are heavily influenced by national sentiment or outsider speculation, perhaps overestimating Mandani’s chances based on outside perceptions. Inside the city, support seems more nuanced, with Cuomo maintaining momentum despite being perceived as a decline in polls overall.