Part 3/11:
Full Disclosure: The author of the source material mentions actively trading shares tied to these predictions, specifically buying “yes” shares for Cuomo, despite the 90% betting odds favoring Mandani. This indicates an underlying belief that polling data may underestimate Cuomo’s internal support, and that the actual race could be tighter than perceived.
Voter Turnout: The Deciding Factor?
A critical theme emerging from discussions is the importance of voter turnout. Many analysts speculate that a record-breaking turnout could be pivotal. Historically, high turnout tends to benefit outsider or insurgent candidates, especially when the traditional establishment fears losing grip.