Week 5 went a bit better as I managed to make some profit but I still have a long way to go and I can't say I really belief there has been much of an edge. Some bets have been ok, others not while good luck seems to be equal to back luck right now. For now, I will just continue my rather cautious way and see where it all goes. I am thinking of switching up my way ot taking bets a bit caring a bit less about 'value' trying to be the hero taking uncomfortable bets and a bit more focus on winners even if I think the line is not off that much. There have been multiple of these matches where I held off witch turned out in easy winners. Off course there is a lot of bias to this but still.
I also have been way to 'safe' on the odds mostly to try and reduce the variance but this rarely is a good idea. Most of the time there is just a bigger edge in higher odds selection so that is also something I'm looking to improve going forward.
Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2023-2024
Just 2 Pre-Game bets in the previews this week which ended up in a winner and half a winner so I'm pretty pleased with those.
Previous 3 Seasons Result
Regular Season 2023-2024 Personal Betting Chart
I'm still in survival mode trying to make sure I don't dig a hole that is too deep at the start of the season so stakes have been reduced along with the number of bets until I regain some confidence and the belief that there actually is an edge on the market. Right now getting to a point where I comfortably stake 8-10 units a week is the last thing on my mind.
Regular Season Results 2023-2024
Week 05 Results 25 Bets | 12W-09L-04P | Staked 03.735u | +0.302u Profit
Week 04 Results 18 Bets | 05W-11L-02P | Staked 02.090u | -0.675u Loss
Week 03 Results 19 Bets | 06W-10L-03P | Staked 03.439u | -1.271u Loss
Week 02 Results 38 Bets | 12W-24L-02P | Staked 07.627u | -2.415u Loss
Week 01 Results 30 Bets | 12W-09L-09P | Staked 05.268u | +0.635u Profit
Total Season 2022-2023 Results
130 Bets | 47W-63L-20P | 22.159 Staked | -3.424u Loss | -15.45% ROI
Previous Seasons Personal Betting Results [8239 Bets +3.77% ROI]
Season 2022-2023 | 1598 Bets +4.71% ROI
Season 2021-2022 | 1364 Bets +2.72% ROI
Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI