This chart shows when 1 Bitcoin could be 1 Million Dollars

in LeoFinance2 years ago

It's time for an update to a chart calculation I've been doing since 2013: When might Bitcoin's price reach the one million dollar mark?

In 2013 when I said Bitcoin was going to $1000 and beyond, my YouTube viewers laughed at me, unsubscribed, and/or left dismissive comments. It happened, and exactly when I said it would happen, too. From that point on, I've made dozens of bizarrely-accurate calls - and essentially no lemons. I was the first person I know of to use a long-term logarithmic chart to identify the repeating bowl and breakout pattern that is now becoming widely recognized. It has been one of my primary tools to make my flawless string of predictions, and I've documented it all openly here on the blockchain for anyone to see. Here's my latest rough calculation with updated data to Oct 30 2020.

This is a 7 year chart of BTC, priced in USD on the logarithmic scale. It shows percentage moves rather than nominal dollar moves, helping us gauge trends over long time periods and large value fluctuations.

You'll notice I've used a blue brush to paint a "summary" of the price action for extra clarity. Today we're at the very right-hand point, at $13500 USD.

One way to find out where the price might go next, is to follow the trend of where it has been. Since BTC, while notoriously volatile, has indeed followed a recognizable overall trend, we can use that to estimate what another few years may bring.

Of course, there's no guarantee that what happened in the past will repeat verbatim. In fact, it's almost guaranteed not to. This is only one potential way to ESTIMATE what might be coming, knowing just because it has worked for several years doesn't mean it will always.

Here's what happens if you copy the corresponding 4 year section from the chart, and attach it to today, continuing the long term trend:

You'll notice that this doesn't assume there will be a nonstop climb from here to one million - there will continue to be massive volatility and even bear markets. That has always been the case.

It does appear well within the realm of possibility for Bitcoin to breach $1million USD before the end of 2024.

Please note that this isn't necessarily a prediction, just a calculation, one I've used in the past with great results. If you want my latest thoughts on price action, click here for a short video, which links to my most recent actual prediction - a 2.5 year old video that covered everything up to the end of 2020. It has been perfect thus far and I have no reason to revise it.

That note aside, yes, the path marked in lime green could very well be what is (approximately) coming. I do expect a test of $20000 before the year's out, and a new high soon thereafter, then some sort of bear market, before another bull move to the 6 or 7 digits. I have said since 2013 that this was a distinct possibility for Bitcoin, and that possibility seems even larger now than back at $70.

The best average trend line (in red) oversimplifies a complex chart, but still makes a clear point:

If the overall trend continues, the question isn't if Bitcoin will hit a million dollars, it's a question of when.

And one potential answer is: approximately 2024.


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HODLing my microscopic sliver of a BTC.

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Heheh, yeah, same here. Everything went into STEEM and proceeded to lose 99% from there.
At a million, every percent of a BTC is 10 grand. I think I would finally have enough to have to declare it, haha.

This is something that is hard to argue. With the way institutions are piling in, it is clear that, since it is limited in supply, the price will keep escalating over time.

I like that you mentioned the path to $1M isnt a straight line. There will be ups and downs.

Even if the timing is a couple years off, $1 million by 2026, would really change the financial situation for many.

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Twenty, twenty-four for the win!

Great prediction, the logarithmic graph works well as a gauge. 2024 is the next presidential election and could be just as interesting a year as 2020. It is the year of the next bitcoin halving, so I would say we may have to wait until the post-halving bull run to reach the $1 million ATH. I would speculate it will occur around 2026. Also the cycles of bitcoin are stretching out longer each time.

Good call, sounds reasonable to me.
It's bizarre that people look at the BTC chart (and fundamentals etc) and come to the conclusion that it's headed toward zero. There's that risk, but I don't see a greater chance of big upside potential.

Awesome that there's an identifying long term trend for BTC, and strange that even now, so few people know about it. Will be interesting if it holds a few more years.

When will HIVE follow along with BTC? Today, HIVE fell to the lowest level in BTC ever.

Two different animals.

Bitcoin is a store of value, at this point. Hive is dependent upon development.

The later takes longer. Price is the realm of Bitcoin, development and users in Hive.

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