Microblogging is going to change things around here and many are going to migrate not because it'll be new, but because it will suit their need more.
I'm expecting a migration from Twitter, very soon people will realize it's a better and safer place, not to mention the opportunity of monetizing your content. Obviously it'll take time to grow and take over twitter but I'm not worried about that as it'll happen in a few years.
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Honestly, I dont know how many will migrate away from twitter but I do know there are lots of places to capture the attention. We will need to utilize them all to make it work.
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I can't estimate a number either but there will be quite a few in my opinion.
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