For the next two days, there will be 2022 planning sessions held for the department I work within and today's session will be in collaboration with another team that is related, to see if we can create more alignment on activities to compound for results. The organization I work for is actually pretty good at internal collaboration, which is refreshing, considering some of the places I have consulted for. Often, a large part of my work is just building communication channels so that the right people, have the right information when they need it. Timing is vital.
I generally (un-stroked Taraz) do a lot of practical work and deliveries in these areas, but what I am (was) probably the best at and find the most enjoyable, is the higher level views and strategizing on what directions to take. I like looking at all the data points available, projecting into the future to work out where and what might be possible (surprised?) and then planning the pathways to get there. It doesn't really matter what the topic is, whether it be company direction, an individual career path or the potential in a product feature, it is fun.
I think part of the reason I enjoy it so much is that even though it is based upon available information, the prediction is a creative exercise that is quite open ended. It is only once things happen and are in hindsight that it is possible to see how correct the predictions and activities made were, which brings in some accountability.
Often in organizations, this accountability is lost and I think we see this quite readily in the media also, where the narrative they perpetuate and is found to be very wrong, is quickly covered by another narrative. I reckon the stories around inflation rates over the last year and a half qualify for this and of course, pretty much anything to do with crypto for the last decade, as the mass media pendulum swings whichever way they are able to get clicks.
Consistency is a key factor to success, but this doesn't mean that a person can't change over time. In fact in my opinion, if a person doesn't change their opinions often enough on various topics, they are likely working on default and will increasingly be wrong in their approach. The reason is that everything is lived within a dynamic environment that is always changing and shifting. This means that a correct solution today will likely be slightly incorrect tomorrow and a decade later, even harmful. I think again using crypto as the example, a lot of people are doing themselves harm by not paying attention, because a decade ago they "researched" it and found too many holes in the story.
All new industries have holes, because that is what gives the space to grow and innovate. Using the failures of the first combustion engine as an opinion about the future of cars, or the first failed message over the internet to predict the internet itself of the future as a failure, is obviously a poor predictive approach - even though it is based on the "best information available". People tend to think because they have all the data now, they are making the best decision they can, but unless that decision gives room for new data to inform and change opinion, it is likely a poor approach.
From my own experiences surrounding planning and predicting the future, the people who do the best are those who are consistently changing their opinion. However, there is a caveat here, because they are also the ones who get the worst results. The difference is however, that the people who are actually making practical moves on what they know and then, adjusting based on new information tend to do well - but those who are only changing their opinions are doing nothing at all.
A lot of social media activity is based on opinion, not actual activity and it rarely needs to be consistent. This means that a person can feel like they are participating and even feel like they are getting "everything right", while not actually doing anything at all. This leads to feelings of "doing right" without the feedback of good results. There are many people in this position and often, they get bitter about their lives and tend to blame others, as after all - they know they are correct based on what they know.
But what we know is always a limited view of the world, even when we know a lot. There are so many dynamic pieces in play that even if we can predict what will happen tomorrow, all of the movements will trigger events that we don't have visibility on and a year or ten down the track, our initial predictions can look very immature. However, "initial" doesn't mean final position, so if we are continuously feeding in more information and adjusting our activity, we can be consistent in that we are consistently improving our process and therefore on average at least, our likely outcomes.
It isn't an easy process to change, as learning is always some degree of uncomfortable, but continuous improvement is easier than wholesale pivots and for organizations, generally far cheaper. The reason is that a culture of change can constantly move and adjust cheaply, but a culture that doesn't move often, becomes stubborn, arrogant and very quickly, ignorant. Pretty much all of the "too big to fail" failures are due to a lack of insight into the environmental changes taking place, whilst believing that what is done now, is the best way to do it. All centralized systems act like this by design, which is why not one of them has survived to date.
Plan ahead, but know that everything is transitory. It might seem to move slowly like a snail, but that is how the continents have shifted too.
Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]
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Time really flies fast these days but consistency definitely counts a lot as you rightly said and one can improve the quality and quantity of information by being consistent and that even doubles the efficiency adding some punctuality in it. Thanks for being so consistent in writing regular posts😊.
It is hard for some people to be consistent, because they think it means "unchanging". Consistent experimentation is consistency too :)
A good planning now for the coming year is good. Personally when I look back, I remember how I miss-managed my crypto due to my little knowledge over it. However I have started restrategizing on how to do better next year with the knowledge I get here on hive via reading content with consistent implementation by God's grace.
God has very little to do with it - otherwise most of the world would have what they want :)
Learning and experience helps a lot though :P
I was one of those people for sure. Kicking myself about it now!!
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There aren't boots big enough to kick my ass as it deserves.
Haha!
That is most effective lines for the technology based companies .Those consistently work on public sentiment and bring something unique according to present market situation, tends to be winner.
Recently staples center renamed crypto.com arena which hyped the company ,grabbed public attention toward CRO token.It was unique in itself but maybe it won't work after a decade as people getting more indulge in crypto and the present hype will be useless from that decade.
It is a 20 year deal, but the idea there is to make the name ubiquitous. They have a decent domain name for the industry though. Lucky bastards.
...even if we can predict what will happen tomorrow, all of the movements will trigger events that we don't have visibility...
Because we don't have the aces. In such situations, we can just change our plans or have B-C plans.
...what is done now, is the best way to do it.
I think that this is because people don't what to change the way something is done in case there might be a failure. That's why they become stubborn. However, sooner or later they will get accustomated to the alterarion.
They might get accustomed, but the inevitability of change is quite certain. This is part of the reason there are so many victims in the world
It’s good to plan. it gives proper direction and a steady head to work because there’s already a set goal. But sometimes things never go according to plan... doesn’t mean we still shouldn’t try to lay out plans
Nothing really ever goes to plan - but it is generally better to have a plan, than no plan at all.
Really liked what you said here "The difference is however, that the people who are actually making practical moves on what they know and then, adjusting based on new information tend to do well..."
I find that blockchain has been a wonderful place for me to learn and act upon what I know. The information I am gaining can be directly put into practical use. Decentralized Social Media is one of those area.
It is a breeding ground for better activity, if paying attention. Most just want to make a quick buck though.
I once heard Joyce Meyer say "you don't know what you believe until your beliefs are tested" that stuck. Humans evolve every day and if you don't sit and question your beliefs now and then there's probably no growth taking place. Yeah, slow and steady.
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"the proof is in the pudding" - people think they know how they are going to act in a situation - most find out that under stress, they act quite differently.
It might seem to move slowly like a snail, but that is how the continents have shifted too.
Wow! This saying really impressed me. And reminded me that I have to take action for some things.
Action has to be taken. Too many people sit idle and wait for some kind of inspiration to strike. The only thing that generally happens is, a loss of potential.
All things seem slow and then bam they are upon us! We are planning 2022 stuff just now and I am thinking, where did the year go?
I am also wondering too..
I just hope I can achieve all I set to do before the end of the year
It is a sign of getting old. Not only do the years fly by, but we have to plan the years to come, because we no longer have the ability to be spontaneous.
I have said that to the missus about the years flying by as we can only store a finite amount of info and therefore it is the events that stand out. You don't want to be cluttered with a zillion memories of putting on your shoes or brushing your teeth.
Planning is everything, I do like and try for a bit of spontaneity though. I hope that doesn't entirely go!
I have heard it is age based because of percentage. For an 8 year old, 4 years is half a lifetime. For me, less than a tenth.
I just wing everything and pretend I am spontaneous.
A good way to look at it.
I have been winging for a long time. One day I will get to stop and I might even be relieved :O)
I think it would be a relief for me to stop having to wing it all the time. Just sit on a beach until I get bored - which will be in after about 3 minutes.
Takes me about three weeks to begin to be thinking about being bored on a beach :0D