Grok5 by the end of year?
Based on announcements from Elon Musk and xAI in August 2025, the estimated release date for Grok-5 is by the end of 2025, with some sources specifying December as the target window to capitalize on rapid training progress that began that September. Musk described the model as "crushingly good," positioning it as a potential leap toward AGI with a 10% chance of achieving general intelligence, amid xAI's aggressive development cycle following Grok-4's launch. Prediction markets like Manifold currently assign a 31% probability to a pre-December release and 57% before 2026, reflecting optimism tempered by the competitive AI landscape, though no delays have been reported as of mid-October 2025.
Super hyped for Grok-5! Elon’s calling it "crushingly good" and with xAI’s crazy fast dev cycle, I bet it’s gonna blow us away by year-end 🚀 Anyone else counting down the days for this AGI leap?