Tesla saw vehicle deliveries rise 38% to 1.81 million in 2023.
To top that in 2024, the EV giant needs 514,925 deliveries in Q4, far more than the Q4 2023 record of 484,507. Analyst consensus currently forecasts 498,000 vehicle deliveries in Q4 and 1.79 million for 2024, according to FactSet.
However, other estimates have Tesla's Q4 total coming in around 506,000 units.
Looking further out, CEO Elon Musk proclaimed on the Q3 earnings call that vehicle sales could grow "20%-30%" in 2025.