Interesting concept.
Are people buying the token of the one they want to win? Or that they think will win? That could be two different options.
Also, are people playing the arbitrage game? Depending upon how the token purchasing is going, perhaps it is a better payoff going for the "underdog". If the token purchasing is heavily weighted in one direction, that could mean the financial opportunity could be in the other camp.
A lot of ways for people to play this one.
Yes :)
Look at today's update: https://peakd.com/trumpbiden/@nealmcspadden/trump-biden-game-meta-for-2020-08-20-trump-ahead-2-73-to-1
and you'll see that I fully expect real-life odds to arb current-game-odds.
It's going to be an interesting couple of months.