This was a really interesting week as there were plenty of spots where I saw big value in the market which I also acted on. As I kind of expected, this didn't really turn out to be the case even though I did manage to get excellent closing line value of the bigger bets. If anything I learned that big edges are just very rare on the market especially if they are obvious when you are somewhat informed on things. I have no clue how the linemakers are doing it and I guess some kind of artificial intelligence is part of it, but it's really impressive.
However, all of this doesn't take away from the fact that it's actually able to beat the market which I have been doing for many years now. I will adjust things a bit trying to bet the smaller bets a bit bigger and the bigger bets a bit smaller getting things much closer to flat betting
More importantly, I'm still having a lot of fun handicapping and betting the league which remains a constant challenge full of surprises with lots of room to still improve upon my skill..
Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2022-2023
I had 9 recommended bets last week with some double bets on Antwerp & Club Brugge which all combined resulted in a 5.5W-3L-0.5P and a nice +1.804 units profit. I will likely have fewer bets the coming mid-week.
Previous 2 Seasons Result
Regular Season 2022-2023 Personal Betting Chart
I expected either a big jump up or possibly a correction to the downside based on the bigger bets but since 1 turned out in a winner and the other in a loser things went more sideways still making just over 0.5 units profit. I did reach 0.8 units staked again but expect lover volume the coming weeks, the main goal looking at the matches that will be played now is to just try to find some good value bets and nothing more regardless of the results.
Season Results 2022-2023
Week 12 Results 43 Bets | 18W-20L-05P | Staked 08.271u | +0.585u Profit
Week 11 Results 40 Bets | 17W-16L-07P | Staked 05.326u | +0.334u Profit
Week 10 Results 40 Bets | 15W-21L-04P | Staked 05.665u | -0.450u Loss
Week 09 Results 48 Bets | 21W-22L-05P | Staked 08.577u | -1.402u Loss
Week 08 Results 62 Bets | 32W-26L-04P | Staked 10.849u | +2.012u Profit
Week 07 Results 76 Bets | 40W-27L-09P | Staked 09.442u | +2.310u Profit
Week 06 Results 46 Bets | 22W-15L-09P | Staked 06.422u | +0.983u Profit
Week 05 Results 56 Bets | 23W-29L-04P | Staked 08.723u | -2.211u Loss
Week 04 Results 58 Bets | 30W-22L-06P | Staked 08.230u | +1.777u Profit
Week 03 Results 43 Bets | 23W-16L-04P | Staked 06.271u | -0.162u Loss
Week 02 Results 27 Bets | 10W-16L-01P | Staked 04.515u | +0.225u Profit
Week 01 Results 44 Bets | 25W-17L-02P | Staked 06.186u | +2.050u Profit
Regular Season 2022-2023 Results
583 Bets | 276W-247L-60P | 88.478 Staked | +6.053u Profit | +6.84% ROI
Previous Seasons Personal Betting Results [6641 Bets +3.57% ROI]
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