Bitcoin below 90k
Hopium won’t save us here - we have to face the reality: Bitcoin is correcting hard. We’re sitting roughly 30% down from the ATH, and the monthly chart isn’t exactly giving off bullish vibes anymore. The bull market feels at risk. While I still don’t expect a deep, brutal winter for BTC, it does look like we might be heading into a longer pause before we see higher prices again.
And the reasons are pretty clear: worries about interest-rate cuts not happening this year, FUD that the cycle might already be over, ETFs dumping into the market, and overall sentiment wearing thin after a mostly sideways 2025. I still think there’s a solid chance for recovery next year, but for this year, I’m afraid new ATHs might be off the table. 126k may have been the peak for now.
What do you think, guys? Is this bull run basically done for the next few months? Or could we even be looking at the start of a longer winter? To get back in bull mode we would need to get back above 100k significabtly soon.
For me, the current levels is buying territory. I’m stacking slowly, step by step, every time the market dips further.
The bull run always ends the end of the year after having. It’s not certain yet there’s not one more leg up but 15K-126K for bull period of cycle wouldn’t be a failure. But topping 6 weeks early or 6 weeks late wouldn’t be that weird, but the cycle structure won’t disappear, wether we topped at 126K or we go up to 140K in next 8 weeks, the bear cycle is a sure thing.
We won’t go from 3 perfect cycles to no more cycles, we will need a cycle in middle that shows a transition with some changes in volatility and timing first before the 4 year cycle doesn’t exist. Whether it’s now or in 2-3 months after a slightly higher top, bear market is still a sure thing. Maybe timing shifts a little but so far if 126K is cycle top, that just means it was 4 weeks early, hardly a big shift. The one change that has occurred is alt cycle was canceled for 99% of alts as I’ve been saying since 2024. The meme coin madness gave it away for me.
!PIZZA !LADY
I get no joy being right about Hive collapsing, but the writing was on wall. That’s why I have discussed it weekly over a year. I sold 70% my HP in January when we pumped artificially, I did so because I knew we’d be here. Now at last I can buy back for much less. It will be interesting period for sure. I wish Hive would change. People are sick of the waste & abuse via DHF. Hive is pushed down to keep HBD at artificial peg, this is why we collapsed so much. We likely would have anyway but this pressure made it worse.
We haven't been in a bull run, so it's not the end of it 😉
That’s my man! 😅
I think the decline will continue. I'm gradually selling HBD and buying BNB and SOL.
That early? They will bleed even more if your BTC scenario comes true.
It's hard to predict the bottom, so I like to buy for a long time, gradually averaging out the average purchase price. For example, I bought SOL at around $150, and I'm glad I didn't buy it at $250. At $125 and $100 I will increase the volume of SOL purchases.
Don't bother with bull and not bull, if it was so easy to predict everyone just buys low, wait bull and sell getting rich... Markets are not predictable easily
And hive 💁💁💁 ... bear comes in and BOOM ... forget your Hive 👋👋 sorry to say ... going in bear what 0.10 cent or mord lower price , is end game .
From what I learned from your podcast, that is kind of normal - but was expected later, in 2026. I started a savings plan into Bitcoin, just going to let that run. If the coin crashes, I might buy in a little, but I'll have to learn more about it, first.
Same goes for Hive. Though I'm pretty happy with my position as it is 😀
👍🏻 DCA in is a very good strategy.
Sieht im Moment nicht gut aus, vielleicht ein Vorbote, dass die KI-Bubble früher platzen könnte als gedacht.