The bull run always ends the end of the year after having. It’s not certain yet there’s not one more leg up but 15K-126K for bull period of cycle wouldn’t be a failure. But topping 6 weeks early or 6 weeks late wouldn’t be that weird, but the cycle structure won’t disappear, wether we topped at 126K or we go up to 140K in next 8 weeks, the bear cycle is a sure thing.
We won’t go from 3 perfect cycles to no more cycles, we will need a cycle in middle that shows a transition with some changes in volatility and timing first before the 4 year cycle doesn’t exist. Whether it’s now or in 2-3 months after a slightly higher top, bear market is still a sure thing. Maybe timing shifts a little but so far if 126K is cycle top, that just means it was 4 weeks early, hardly a big shift. The one change that has occurred is alt cycle was canceled for 99% of alts as I’ve been saying since 2024. The meme coin madness gave it away for me.
!PIZZA !LADY
I get no joy being right about Hive collapsing, but the writing was on wall. That’s why I have discussed it weekly over a year. I sold 70% my HP in January when we pumped artificially, I did so because I knew we’d be here. Now at last I can buy back for much less. It will be interesting period for sure. I wish Hive would change. People are sick of the waste & abuse via DHF. Hive is pushed down to keep HBD at artificial peg, this is why we collapsed so much. We likely would have anyway but this pressure made it worse.