Week 31 Results | 9W-18L-3P | -2.422 Units Loss

in LeoFinance2 years ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal sports betting/trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.

This was one of those weeks where I was running very cold in all regards. The bets that were good value didn't have luck on their side while I failed to pull a lot of triggers on what would have been great bets and I also just took too many bets that didn't turn out to be any good. The good thing is that I remained quite conservative on my stakes which only resulted on a -2.422 unit overall loss which still is quite big given the average stake size.

One of the things I like about these reports is that they don't hide the bad times (like 99% of what is shared on the internet in betting & crypto where everyone only shares something when they are right or won after it happened)

I also feel that my stakes are at this point way too comfortable which is the opposite and almost equally bad as playing with scared money. My main consern is my season chart which prevents me from betting a lot more on average (aside from the limits on many bets). From here on out with 3 weeks to go in the season I will likely just take it slow and have fewer bets seeing where it goes gearing up for the Playoffs where I might make some adjustments on my overall stake sizes starting 'from zero' similar to how each Regular Season starts from zero.


Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2021-2022

The pre-game preview bets also got crushed this week going 5L-0W-1P for the full 5 units loss. If anything it all shows once again how important volume and sample size is and that you literally need thousands of bets in order to make a cautious intital conclusion on actual profitability. At times like this it's nice to be able to zoom out. All preview bets combined now since I introduced this format are 407 Bets | +25.768 Units Profit | +6.33% ROI which is still rock solid.

Last season (See Final Results Post)


At this point I kind of pulled the trigger to stop the experiment to take bets on Copytip given the fact that it's so hard with the limits and I rarely have bets anymore here I'm overly confident to take them in one go. It did do a nice overall profit on all bets taken there and I will continue to share bigger bets on the SBC Discord Channel the moment I get into them.

Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021

15/08/2021 AA Gent vs Mechelen Over 1.5 @ 2.743 (84' 1-0) FT 2-0 WON
07/08/2021 Club Brugge TT Over 2 @ 2.010 (80' 1-0) FT 1-1 LOST
23/07/2021 Genk TT Over 1 @ 2.039 (HT 0-0) FT 1-1 PUSHED

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review


Season 2021-2022 Personal Betting Chart

There was another retrace to the pink expected profit line and at this point with 3 more weeks to go after caring all season long about making the chart go up and look nice I'm will put even more priority ok keeping it clean not taking risks to have things crash down as not that much is needed for that (or the opposite) to happen. Overall thinks look quite nice still with a general steady uptrend


Regular Season Results 2021-2022

Week 31 Results 30 Bets | 09W-18L-03P | Staked 05.545u | -2.422u Loss
Week 30 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 05.981u | -0.453u Loss
Week 29 Results 40 Bets | 19W-16L-05P | Staked 06.883u | +0.153u Profit
Week 28 Results 47 Bets | 26W-18L-03P | Staked 07.426u | +1.975u Profit
Week 27 Results 31 Bets | 11W-20L-00P | Staked 06.285u | -1.225u Loss
Week 26 Results 38 Bets | 17W-17L-02P | Staked 06.585u | +2.727u Profit
Week 25 Results 36 Bets | 17W-17L-02P | Staked 04.484u | +0.721u Profit
Week 24 Results 23 Bets | 11W-08L-04P | Staked 04.069u | +0.403u Profit
Week 23 Results 44 Bets | 14W-28L-02P | Staked 06.256u | -2.270u Loss
Week 22 Results 20 Bets | 06W-06L-08P | Staked 03.869u | +0.085u Profit
Week 21 Results 31 Bets | 14W-15L-02P | Staked 05.935u | +1.253u Profit
Week 20 Results 28 Bets | 14W-10L-04P | Staked 04.181u | +1.209u Profit
Week 19 Results 19 Bets | 09W-06L-04P | Staked 02.908u | +0.755u Profit
Week 18 Results 37 Bets | 21W-15L-01P | Staked 05.606u | +0.740u Profit
Week 17 Results 50 Bets | 20W-26L-04P | Staked 08.528u | -0.794u Loss
Week 16 Results 30 Bets | 13W-14L-03P | Staked 05.423u | -0.648u Loss
Week 15 Results 28 Bets | 10W-14L-04P | Staked 04.231u | -0.721u Loss
Week 14 Results 43 Bets | 24W-24L-05P | Staked 07.936u | -1.322u Loss
Week 13 Results 48 Bets | 23W-20L-05P | Staked 07.311u | +1.430u Profit
Week 12 Results 30 Bets | 13W-15L-02P | Staked 05.385u | -0.318u Loss
Week 11 Results 30 Bets | 18W-09L-03P | Staked 04.775u | +2.180u Profit
Week 10 Results 48 Bets | 20W-21L-07P | Staked 09.745u | -0.096u Loss
Week 09 Results 45 Bets | 24W-16L-05P | Staked 08.455u | +0.605u Profit
Week 08 Results 60 Bets | 26W-26L-08P | Staked 09.904u | +0.783u Profit
Week 07 Results 39 Bets | 13W-19L-07P | Staked 06.125u | -0.393u Loss
Week 06 Results 40 Bets | 15W-16L-09P | Staked 08.743u | -0.796u Loss
Week 05 Results 43 Bets | 20W-17L-06P | Staked 07.656u | +0.347u Profit
Week 04 Results 65 Bets | 24W-30L-11P | Staked 10.450u | +1.805u Profit
Week 03 Results 43 Bets | 22W-17L-04P | Staked 07.219u | -0.223u Loss
Week 02 Results 36 Bets | 18W-17L-01P | Staked 05.523u | -0.800u Loss
Week 01 Results 45 Bets | 25W-13L-07P | Staked 07.376u | +1.747u Profit

 Regular Season 2020-2021 Results
1184 Bets | 534W-516L-134P | 200.793 Staked | +6.182u Profit | +3.08% ROI

Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

Likely less action the coming weeks but I will keep going at it and I'll be back 7 days from now.

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